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"Population Dynamics of the Dexter Breed of Cattle" - Part Three by G.B Young (1953)
In a breed free from a lethal and subject to mass selection, most progress is made by selection of dams of bulls. In Dexters, selection of dams of bulls may not be as effective as in other breeds, since the cows selected for breeding will only produce one suitable Dexter-type bull in four calves. This means fewer bulls from each good dam, and more dams will be required to produce the requisite number of bulls, thus lowering the selection differential. Between 1921 and 1943, 13% registered females produced registered bulls. Corresponding figures for other breeds cannot be given, but generally it will be found in dairy cattle that the number of bull registrations is about 20% of the number of female registrations. If the total cows in the breed is about 2.5 times the number of female registrations, then the percentage of cows producing registered bulls each year is about 8%. It would appear, therefore, that the fraction of cows producing registered bulls may be greater by about a half in Dexters than in other breeds. This effect may, however, also be associated with the small herd size in Dexters.
Table 8: Differential distribution of registered male and female offspring of bulls (1924-1943)
Despite the greater number of dams of bulls required, there is still room for considerable selection. By studying the birth lists and registrations between 1924 and 1943, it was found that of the total male births, 16% only are registered, and only 7% produced registered male offspring, and 11% registered female offspring. The average age of the dams of these bulls was 5.2 years, so selection could be based on the dams' production.
3% of sires, leaving more than six bull calves each, account for 19% of the offspring. At the other end of the scale 76% of the sires, leaving one or two offspring, account for only 46% of the male progeny. The average number was 2.3. The 10% of sires leaving more than ten female offspring account for about 30% of the offspring, whereas the 38% who have one or two female offspring account for only 12% of the calves. The average number was 4.6. These figures indicate that, as in other breeds, the influence of a small percentage of sires may be out of all proportion to their numbers.
Selection of dams to breed dams
The estimated total inbreeding is only 2.4%, which suggests that inbreeding is avoided, possibly because, in the breeder's mind, inbreeding is associated with the production of monstrous calves. The effective population size calculated from the inbreeding is equivalent to twenty-five males. The comparatively large resultant expected long-term inbreeding indicates that strain differences are not important.
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